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PAP govt should take a leaf out of EPF’s book since it cannot resolve retirement issue

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CPF historical ratesEPF historical dividend rates

In my previous post, I highlighted the huge difference between the returns of EPF and CPF (5.91% vs 3.56% compounded interest) during the last 20 years. Not only were EPF returns higher every yearduring the last 20 years, CPF rates have never been higher than EPF rates since 1955.

Something is seriously wrong with our CPF pension system when a neighbouring country has been able to achieve satisfactory returns for their citizens’ retirement for more than 5 decades. If it had not, rest assured there would be regular mass protests by tens of thousands of Malaysians, not at a designated park, but in the capital.

CPF protests at Hong Lim Park are due to the PAP government’s use of legislation to keep a huge portion of our CPF returns in GIC and to supplement the budget.

The PAP has refused to address its own shortcomings but prefers to ‘fix’ those activists who have the support of most CPF members. It has again resorted to bullying tactics using taxpayer-funded civil servants to achieve its political objective. This has continued to erode the trust of Singaporeans.

Further comparisons with Malaysia’s EPF will confirm the incompetence of our government in looking after the retirement needs of citizens.

YEAR: 2013EPFEPF (SING $)CPF
ASSETSRM$527 BILLION$207 BILLION$230 BILLION
RETURNS %6.35%N A3.50%
PAID OUTRM$31 BILLION$12.2 BILLION$9.14 BILLION

Exchange rate – S$1 = RM$ 2.55
For CPF $9.14 billion payout see MAS Annual Report page 111

The PAP government has been telling Singaporeans that our CPF cannot be invested as a standalone fund and that we need the support of government reserves in order to achieve guaranteed VERY LOW returns.

But Malaysia’s EPF:
– is a standalone fund and not commingled with government reserves to confuse its members,
– has achieved satisfactory returns for its members for more than half a century,
– has never provided returns that are lower than CPF rates since 1955,
– does not need the government to guarantee its returns at the expense of taxpayers.

If the PAP wants to regain citizens’ trust, it must cease assuming CPF members are dumb and be upfront and transparent when dealing with us.

From the (above) table, CPF has clearly underperformed by miles ie it manages $23 billion more than EPF but paid out to CPF members $3 billion less than EPF. Is this considered a stellar performance?

Since GIC’s inception, CPF rates have been a disgrace to the PAP government when compared with EPF’s.

If the PAP had modelled our CPF on the EPF, Singaporeans would have received much higher returns for our retirement.

EPF’s compounded interest rate since 1981 is 7.02% vs CPF’s 5%. The 2% is significant over the long term ie $10,000 invested in EPF would have earned $77,782 in 2013 whereas CPF only $37,653 **

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CPF fund manager, GIC, has never met its objective of achieving good long term returns for CPF members.

GIC can make any claims about its performance but CPF members are really not interested in its delusions of grandeur. No point telling CPF members its annualised real rate of return is 4.1% for the last 20 years when it has been paying members average annual returns of 3.56%.

The PAP government has been failing CPF members decade after decade. Malaysia’s national pension fund model works wonders and there are also no protest rallies. The PAP government could certainly take a leaf out of EPF’s book to resolve the issue of retirement shortfall.

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How much longer does the PAP government intend to shortchange CPF members with such low returns?

YEAREPF %$CPF %$
19818108006.510650
19828116646.511342
19838.5126556.512079
19848.5137316.512864
19858.5148986.513700
19868.516164614522
19878.517538415103
19888189413.115571
19898204573.316085
19908220933.816696
19918238614.717481
19928257704.618285
19938278312.618760
19948300582.519229
19957.5323123.719941
19967.734800420738
19976.737132421567
19986.7396204.522538
19996.84423304.523552
2000644869324258
2001547113331536
20024.25491153.532640
20034.5513253.533782
20044.75537633.534965
20055564523.536188
20065.15593593.537455
20075.8628023.538766
20084.5656283.540123
20095.65693363.541527
20105.8733573.542980
20116777593.544485
20126.15825413.546042
20136.35877823.547653

Phillip Ang

*The author blogs at http://likedatosocanmeh.wordpress.com

 

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